Economic Trends

These reports analyze the local, regional and global economic trends and their implications for economic growth and policymaking in Dubai/UAE. These reports focus on studying the UAE/Dubai macroeconomic variables and put forward policy recommendations to stimulate and boost economic growth.

The positive economic outlook for both UAE and Ethiopia is expected to support their trade and investment activities over the medium and the long-term. The signs of the global economic recovery, vaccination rollout and government stimulus packages in supporting economic activity will support direct investments by investors, which will further support bilateral trade activity.
The report highlights the latest trends in Dubai-Africa bilateral trade and potential future opportunities. The report identifies Dubai major trading partners in Africa based on the current market share or the fast growth markets. As well, the report identifies the major traded products and the prospects of future traded products.
The report provides an overview on Iran’s latest economic developments, and goes over recent global trade trends.
The relatively robust import activity observed in East and West Africa sub-regions is likely to continue throughout the second half of 2020. As COVID-19 is reshaping global supply chains, Dubai based businesses have opportunity to re-position themselves/explore to new African markets.
Moreover, expected operationalization of AfCFTA will increase potential export markets and products for Dubai businesses.
Dubai’s total exports to Asia reached USD 106 billion in 2019, registering a growth of 8% compared to the previous year. The Asian countries comprise of 50 countries and they accounted for 68% of the total exports of Dubai in 2019. The report identifies Dubai’s best-performing
Asian markets and products using Dubai latest trade data for 2019. Besides, the report also reveals the potential Asian countries and products in Asia by looking at the imports demand side. The final part of the presentation describes how the COVID - 19 pandemic has reshaped the imports of top Asian countries in 2020 using Dubai Chamber’s Certificate of Origin exports data.
Dubai’s total trade with Africa grew in value from AED85bn back in 2011 to AED136.6bn in 2018, effectively realizing a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 7.0%.
UAE FDI in the continent is experiencing a "boom". In select markets, UAE FDI stock has enjoyed uninterrupted growth since 2010, from a value of $0.8b to $26.4b by 2017; which translates into a staggering CAGR of 65%.
Sales of food and beverage have experienced growth in the UAE. The sales growth has partly been driven by growth of per-capita incomes and population. Sales of Halal food and Organic food are also estimated to have increased. Overtime niche categories have emerged such as Gluten Free Food which have experienced strong growth in sales of products such Quinoa bread.
There could also be potential business opportunities in retail e-commerce sales for food and beverage and in export/re-export of some food products to other markets.
On the supply side indoor farming, vertical framing and hydroponics could hold potential business opportunities.
This report highlights the latest macroeconomic trends in the continent of Africa, with special focus on the Sub-Saharan Africa region (SSA). As expected by many observers, the decline in international commodity prices that started by mid-2014, has significantly interrupted the SSA region economic growth prospects, deteriorating its fiscal and current account balances. Yet, figures and data show that the negative impact of the slump in international commodity prices has varied impact across different countries. Many diversified , non-resource rich African countries have shown resilience and maintained robust economic growth while others have been negatively impacted.
The Coffee consumption in the UAE has experienced robust growth overtime. Sales of powdered coffee and coffee beans in the UAE have grown at a CAGR of around 8.4% from 2011 to 2016, these sales was valued at around AED2.25billion.
The global and UAE chocolate markets have experienced robust growth over the past decade. Important drivers of chocolate consumption demand include growth in incomes and growth in population size. For UAE businesses, there could be opportunity in the final two parts of the chocolate value chain that is in chocolate manufacture and in export/re F exports and retail sales of chocolate products. UAE businesses could increase domestic production of chocolate to sell within the UAE while potentially increasing exports and re-exports of chocolate to meet the requirements of potentially growing chocolate markets across Asia and Africa.
The UAE pharmaceutical market was estimated to have sales of around AED 9.6 billion by 2016. These sales are estimated to grow at a CAGR of around 8% and by 2020, the UAE pharmaceutical market is estimated to be worth around AED 13 billion.
Most of the healthcare expenditure in the UAE in 2016 was government expenditure that was estimated to be around AED 42 billion, while private healthcare expenditure was estimated to be around AED 18 billion. Another major trend is the growth of local production of pharmaceuticals which is estimated to grow at a CAGR of around 10% from 2015 to 2018.
UAE local sales of fruit juice and soft drinks have experienced robust increase. Future growth can also be expected and this growth in sales could create opportunities for more retail sales of products such as fresh juices in the UAE. As consumers in the UAE and across the world become more health conscious there could be a growing trend for organic fresh juices and energy drinks.
As the UAE jewellery market has experienced strong growth between 2011 - 2016 that is expected to represent CAGR of around 8%, this report sheds light on the market trends and also the potential opportunities for retail investment in the UAE .
The UAE IT sector has registered significant growth over time. The value of UAE's IT market has grown from around AED 15.8 billion in 2013 to an expected value of around USD 17.2 billion by 2016. This represents an expected CAGR of around 3% from 2013 to 2016.

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